Israel's election, 27 October 2026
The last polls before the vote gave Netanyahu's outgoing coalition 50.2 seats on average, against the 61 it needed.
219 polls since January, from 10 outlets. Latest: Channel 13, 23 Oct.
xiquinhosilva / CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Forming the government
Gadi Eisenkot holds the mandate to form the next government
Isaac Herzog tasked Gadi Eisenkot, who leads Yashar, with forming the next government on Sunday, 8 November. He has 28 days, until Sunday, 6 December, and the president can extend that by up to 14 days, until Sunday, 20 December.
Day 6 of 28
22 days left
Who the lawmakers recommended to the president
Gadi Eisenkot67
Benjamin Netanyahu46
Members of the Knesset who recommended each in the president's consultations. The line marks 61 of 120, a majority.
The time limits are set by Basic Law: The Government.
Sources: The Times of Israel, Israel Hayom
Get an email the day Israel has a new government.
Coalition talks can take weeks. When a government is sworn in, Israel.com's newsroom emails who leads it, which parties are in and who got which ministry, then the Friday email each week. Free, and one click unsubscribes.
One list, unsubscribe in a click. See our privacy policy.
See all 120 members of the new Knesset, party by party
Build the next government
Pick the parties. Each one's figure is its seats in the final count, and a government needs 61 of the 120.
53 seats in the final count. 8 short of 61.
Any one of these would take it to 61: Yashar, Together, Joint List, Ra'am, Democrats.
The state of the race
The average takes the latest poll from each of the 9 outlets that published in the last 14 days. It gives the parties of the outgoing government, Likud, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Otzma Yehudit, Shas and United Torah Judaism, 50.2 seats between them, with the outlets ranging from 46 to 58. None of them has the coalition at 61.
Yashar, Gadi Eisenkot's party, averages 22.1 seats and comes first in 8 of the 9 polls. Likud averages 20.6 and comes first in i24 News.
The coalition's average has gone from 51.7 in the first weeks of January to 50.2 today, and stood at 48.9 when the party lists closed on 8 September. Haredi Public fall below the 3.25% threshold in every poll that names them.
Every poll this year
Each dot is one poll's total for the parties of the outgoing government. The line is the average, each outlet counted once over the previous 14 days. Tap or hover a dot for the poll.
Where every party stands
Each party's average across the same 9 polls, with its lowest and highest figure among them.
Gadi Eisenkot
22.120–23
Benjamin Netanyahu
20.618–26
Naftali Bennett
13.611–15
Yair Golan
9.18–10
Yousef Jabareen
8.78–9
Itamar Ben-Gvir
8.17–9
Avigdor Lieberman
7.87–9
Aryeh Deri
7.76–8
7.37–8
Bezalel Smotrich
6.66–8
Mansour Abbas
5.45–7
2.70–4
Ofer Winter
0.50–4
Below the threshold in 5 of 5 polls
0
The dashed line is 4 seats, about the least a list can win: a party needs 3.25% of the vote to enter the Knesset at all.
Get an email the day Israel has a new government.
Coalition talks can take weeks. When a government is sworn in, Israel.com's newsroom emails who leads it, which parties are in and who got which ministry, then the Friday email each week. Free, and one click unsubscribes.
One list, unsubscribe in a click. See our privacy policy.
xiquinhosilva / CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Israel.com is free, and readers like you keep it that way.
Israel.com tracked every poll of this campaign and the count on the night, free and with no sign-up. If it helped, a contribution of any size keeps it running for the next election.
One payment, nothing to sign up for. Another amountGive monthly
IDF Spokesperson's Unit photographer / CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons
How Israel votes
The whole country is one constituency, and voters choose a party rather than a candidate. Behind a cardboard screen each voter picks the printed slip of one list from a tray, seals it in an envelope and drops it in the box.
The 120 seats are shared out in proportion to the vote among the lists that pass 3.25%. Pairs of parties can sign surplus-vote agreements, which pool their leftover votes when the last few seats are handed out.
A government needs the confidence of 61 members. After the results the president gives one member, usually the leader with the most backing, 28 days to put a coalition together, and can extend that by up to 14 more.
Every party since January
Same scale in every chart, 0 to 35 seats, so the slopes compare. The grey dots are single polls and the line is the average. The change is counted from the day the lists closed, 8 September.
Yashar
22.1 now, −1 since 8 Sep
Likud
20.6 now, −0.7 since 8 Sep
Together
13.6 now, +0.3 since 8 Sep
Before 26 April: Yesh Atid and Bennett 2026 added together.
The Democrats
9.1 now, −0.6 since 8 Sep
Joint List
8.7 now, +1.6 since 8 Sep
Starts in July. Before that the polls counted Ra'am inside the Joint List.
Otzma Yehudit
8.1 now, +1.1 since 8 Sep
Yisrael Beiteinu
7.8 now, −0.5 since 8 Sep
Shas
7.7 now, +0.1 since 8 Sep
United Torah Judaism
7.3 now, −0.4 since 8 Sep
Religious Zionism–Zehut
6.6 now, +1.3 since 8 Sep
Before 1 September: the two parties added together.
Ra'am
5.4 now, +0.4 since 8 Sep
Starts in July. Before that the polls counted it inside the Joint List.
The Reservists–New Economic Party
2.7 now, 0 since 8 Sep
No figure while the Reservists ran inside Zionist Home, July to September.
Amcha Yisrael
0.5 now, −2.7 since 8 Sep
How far apart the outlets are
Each outlet's polls against the average of the others in the same fortnight, for the outgoing coalition's total, over every poll this year.
i24 News's polls, by Direct Polls, have given the outgoing coalition 7.8 seats more than the other outlets across 21 polls this year. On Likud alone the gap is +6.5 seats. At the other end, Maariv's polls run 3 below.
Channel 12
Midgam Research & Consulting · 37 polls
−1.4
Channel 13
Midgam Project, The Madad, Stat-Net and Askaria · 28 polls
−0.1
Kan 11
Kantar · 23 polls
0
i24 News
Direct Polls · 21 polls
+7.8
Israel Hayom
Kantar · 12 polls
0
Walla
Lazar Research and Panel4All · 6 polls
−2.1
Channel 16
Maagar Mochot · 10 polls
−1.1
Maariv
Lazar Research and Panel4All · 35 polls
−3
Zman Yisrael
Yossi Tatika · 33 polls
−0.8
The latest polls
Seats as each outlet published them. A dash is a party below the threshold, a dot one the poll did not ask about. The outlet's name opens its own report.
| Poll | Likud | Together | RZP–Zehut | Otzma | Shas | UTJ | Yisrael Beiteinu | Ra'am | Joint List | Democrats | Yashar | Reservists–NEP | Amcha Yisrael | Haredi Public | Coalition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channel 1223 Oct · Midgam Research & Consulting | 21 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 23 | – | – | – | 50 |
| Channel 1323 Oct · Midgam Project, The Madad, Stat-Net and Askaria | 19 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 22 | – | – | – | 50 |
| Israel Hayom22 Oct · Kantar | 21 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 4 | · | · | 50 |
| Maariv22 Oct · Lazar Research and Panel4All | 19 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 4 | – | – | 48 |
| Zman Yisrael22 Oct · Yossi Tatika | 21 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 4 | – | · | 51 |
| Channel 1221 Oct · Midgam Research & Consulting | 19 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 23 | – | 4 | – | 47 |
| Channel 1321 Oct · Midgam Project, The Madad, Stat-Net and Askaria | 19 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 4 | – | – | 49 |
| i24 News20 Oct · Direct Polls | 26 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20 | – | – | – | 58 |
| Channel 1620 Oct · Maagar Mochot | 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 4 | – | 46 |
| Channel 1319 Oct · Midgam Project, The Madad, Stat-Net and Askaria | 18 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 4 | · | 46 |
| Walla19 Oct · Lazar Research and Panel4All | 19 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 4 | – | · | 48 |
All 265 polls of 2026, with every party and a link to each report: israel-election-2026-polls.csv
The dates that decide it
Still to come
How the race got here
4 Nov
The official results are confirmed. The Jerusalem Post
27 Oct
Election day. Polling stations close at 22:00, when the television channels publish their exit polls. The Jerusalem Post
23 Oct
The last day a poll may be published. Israeli law bars new polls from the end of the Friday before the vote.
20 Oct
Israelis posted at embassies and consulates abroad vote. Other Israelis abroad have to fly home to vote. The Jerusalem Post
16 Oct
Last day for parties to file surplus-vote agreements. JNS
4 Oct
Deadline for the Supreme Court to rule on the disqualified lists and candidates. Central Elections Committee
24 Sep
The same committee declines to bar the Democrats, Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. The Times of Israel
23 Sep
The Central Elections Committee votes to bar Ra'am and the Joint List from the ballot. The Supreme Court has the final word. The Jerusalem Post
10–12 Sep
Surplus-vote pacts are signed: Yashar with the Democrats, Together with Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Joint List with Ra'am. The Times of Israel
8 Sep
Candidate lists close with 38 parties filed. Haaretz
6 Sep
Hili Tropper joins Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar, and the Reservists team up with the New Economic Party. JFeed
4 Sep
Unity, the party Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein founded in August, drops out of the race. Israel National News
1 Sep
The Religious Zionist Party and Zehut agree to run on one list. The Jerusalem Post
25 Aug
Ofer Winter, a former IDF brigadier general, launches Amcha Yisrael. The Times of Israel
19 Aug
Hadash, Ta'al and Balad re-form the Joint List. Israel National News
17 Jul
The Knesset votes 62 to 0 to dissolve itself, fixing the election for 27 October. Ynet
26 Apr
Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid merge their parties into one list, Together, with Bennett at the top. The Jerusalem Post
Every town's results from the last seven elections show where each party is strong.
How any town or village voted in each Knesset election from 2013 to 2022, beside the national result.
Election news on Israel.com
- JD Vance weighing whether to skip the 2028 presidential race, CNN reports
13 Nov
- Elections committee chair Solberg rebukes police over leaked opinion in probe
12 Nov
- Spain's first general strike in 14 years hits weeks before national vote
11 Nov
- Israel's security cabinet to meet Sunday, its first session since the election
11 Nov
- Hezbollah chief Qassem says Trump and Netanyahu were defeated at the polls
11 Nov
- Jim Jordan beats Steve Scalise 106-73 to lead House Republicans in minority
10 Nov
How this page works
Every poll here was commissioned and published by an Israeli news outlet. We read them from the poll table on English Wikipedia, which volunteers update within hours of each release, and check every row before using it: its seats must add up to 120, and its total for the outgoing government must match the parties it lists. 17 rows failed one of those checks or named no outlet, and are left out.
The average is the latest poll from each outlet whose fieldwork ended in the last 14 days, each outlet counted once, so the outlets that poll twice a week do not outweigh the ones that poll every other week. Channel 14's polls are left out of the average, the charts and the tables here, and come last in the download.
Read from the table on 14 November, 20:32 Israel time. Figures as of the table's edit of 7 November, 14:26 Israel time. The Wikipedia table
Frequently asked questions
When is Israel's next election?
Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Polling stations close at 22:00 Israel time, when the television channels publish their exit polls, and the official results are confirmed on 4 November.
How many seats are needed to form a government in Israel?
61 of the Knesset's 120. No party has ever won that many on its own, so every Israeli government has been a coalition of several parties.
What is the electoral threshold?
3.25% of the valid votes. A list below it wins no seats at all; one just above it wins about four.
Who is leading in the polls?
Yashar averages 22.1 seats in the latest poll from each outlet, ahead of Likud at 20.6. The parties of Netanyahu's outgoing coalition average 50.2 between them.
Can Israelis abroad vote?
Only those serving the state abroad, such as diplomats, and their families. They vote at embassies and consulates, this time on 20 October. Every other Israeli has to be in Israel on election day to vote.
Why do the polls disagree so much?
Each outlet has its own pollster, sample and method. This year i24 News's polls have given the outgoing coalition 7.8 seats more than the other outlets did in the same fortnight, and Maariv's 3 fewer.